Since 1990, only three NFL teams have qualified to make the postseason after starting the season 3-6. What does this mean for the Eagles. Liklely nothing. But there is precdent. According to Playoffstatus.com, the Eagles have a miniscule three-percent chance of qualifying for the postseason. Personnel flaws, lack of character and horrendous coaching decisions have each combined to put the Eagles in this lowly spot, but perhaps the biggest culprit of all has been a hideous turnover differential. The Eagles are just too sloppy with the football and don’t force enough turnovers to compensate for it. But it is a problem than can be fixed (if Vince Young isn’t your starter).
According to Bob Ventrone of the Philadelphia Inquirer, a swing in turnover differential was the key to the turnaround that propelled 1994 Patriots, 1995 Lions and 1996 Jaguars into the postsesason. Those teams averaged a +10 turnover differential over their final seven games. Turnovers have undoubtedly hurt the Eagles this season–they’ve forced only 14 turnovers while giving it away an unacceptable 21 times. Maybe the Eagles swing the numbers back in their favor a bit more during these last seven games. Probably not. But if they have any designs of a miracle, and boy do I mean a miracle comeback, protecting the football and forcing opposing offenses into giveaways is essential.