1. If the Philadelphia Eagles want to schedule another parade down Broad Street, the turnover ratio must be positive.
Nine of the last ten Super Bowl champions have trekked their way to the mountain top with an overwhelmingly positive turnover ratio, including the Philadelphia Eagles. The only team with a negative turnover ratio was the 2015 Denver Broncos, who won it all with a -4 ratio. That’s not the formula the “Birds” should want to follow.
The magic number is simple: it’s going +11. Not only did the Eagles win the Super Bowl with the +11 ratio, but the average number of the last nine Super Bowl champions with a positive ratio is 11.
Six teams finished with a ratio of 10 or more in 2019, and every one of them was a playoff team, including the New England Patriots who went ballistic with an absurd +21 ratio. You’ll win a lot of games doing it that way, and they did. For Philly, they’ll need to protect the football on offense, and that starts at the quarterback position. The best teams and the best signal-callers don’t turn the ball over at a clip of nearly one per game.
The defense will also play a crucial role. It starts with Schwartz, trickles down to position coaches, and eventually finds its way into the playmakers’ hands.
Remember one thing about all of this. +11 is the magic number. If the Eagles find themselves in the next installment of postseason football and their ratio is around +11, they have a chance to take the trophy.