We still have one game to go in the wild card round as I write this on Monday, but Daniel Jones was the best quarterback this weekend and it’s not particularly close. Second half Trevor Lawrence might have a case, but Danny Dimes was perfect from start to finish for the New York Giants. He threw for 301 yards on 24/35 passing and ran for another 78 on 17 carries. He needed that to knock off Minnesota, 31-24 and it’ll take another herculean effort to get past the No. 1 seed Philadelphia Eagles who have been getting healthy on their bye week.
The Eagles took care of business against New York both times they met this regular season and the beasts of the NFC East will try to make it three for three in Philly this week. Let’s get into the odds for the Giants and Eagles in the divisional round.
Giants vs. Eagles odds, spread and total
Philadelphia and New York betting trends
- Philadelphia is 8-9 ATS
- New York is 14-4 ATS
- New York is 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall
- The under is 4-0 in Philadelphia’s last four playoff games
- Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. NFC
Giants vs. Eagles prediction and pick
The best news for Philadelphia is that Jalen Hurts should be 100% or as close to it this week after easing his way back in Week 18 against New York and then getting the bye week to rest his shoulder. The bad news is that while Lane Johnson is questionable to play, he will not be 100% if he does.
The Giants and Wink Martindale showed an impressive ability to adapt against Minnesota and the most blitz heavy defense in the NFL regularly rushed only four and played coverage.
Wink is going to turn the heat back up this week though. Jalen Hurts had an excellent season, but when he was blitzed this year his completion percentage dropped 10 points to 60.7%, his yards per attempt dropped a full yard, though he did have eight touchdowns to two interceptions. When the pressure got there, he had five turnover worthy plays to just two big time throws and he completed only 44% of his passes.
They aren’t horrible numbers, but his 44.0 PFF passing grade when pressured is 52nd out of the 80 quarterbacks that threw a pass this season. However, Hurts has an 87.3 run grade against pressure, that’s fifth best. If he trusts his health enough to take off and run then they’ll be just fine.
The blitz could rattle Hurts some, especially coming off his injury, but Philadelphia will get more than enough out of their rushing attack to score on New York. Though it’s improving, New York’s 5.2 yards per attempt allowed was the second worst in the NFL and they allowed 144.2 rush yards per game this year. Hurts’ issues against pressure are real, but the Giants aren’t the team to take advantage of them. The Vikings were a fraudulent 13-4 team, so I wasn’t surprised to see Brian Daboll’s team take them out, but Philadelphia is in another class entirely.
The Giants are just happy to be here, the Eagles have their sights set on the Super Bowl.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change