Between Jalen Hurts’ injury and a bad Gardner Minshew game, the Eagles offense hasn’t looked good since their 40-34 loss to Dallas with Minshew, and hasn’t been great since Philadelphia blew out the New York Giants, 48-22 in Week 14.
In the month or so since that game, AJ Brown has been a constant.
The Eagles will be healthier off their bye week and the total between them and the Giants is 48.
Philly has hung that many on New York once this year, so this could be a high scoring affair on Saturday night. If the Eagles are going to put up points, then they’ll need their No. 1 receiver, so I’ll be backing him on this prop bet.
AJ Brown receiving yards prop bet
In the final four games of the year, Brown has had 181, 103, 97, and 95 receiving yards, yet his receiving yards total for Saturday night can be found as low as 69.5.
You have to go back to Week 12 to find a game where Brown would’ve gone under that total.
The Eagles have had one of the best passing games in the league, but it’s predicated on talent more than complexity in scheme. It’s a pretty simple offense that relies heavily on the top two receivers being great.
AJ Brown finished the year with 1,496 receiving yards and Devonta Smith had 1,196, then there was a big drop off to Dallas Goedert at 702.
The Giants have had more issues with their run defense than they’ve had in the secondary, but in two games against them, Hurts has thrown for 446 yards combined and Brown accounted for 165 of those.
Rarely do teams entirely change their gameplan in the postseason, instead we almost always see them leaning into what worked all year. What worked for the Eagles was throwing to AJ Brown, so I love betting his receiving yards over in the divisional round.
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