Eagles vs Chiefs Pick, Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for 2023 Super Bowl

A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles (Mandatory Credit: Chris Pedota-USA TODAY Sports)
A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles (Mandatory Credit: Chris Pedota-USA TODAY Sports) /

We’re one week and one win away from another Eagles Super Bowl title! This time next week, we’ll be counting our blessing and our cash after the Eagles win big over the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII.

And that’s not just a homer take. Vegas has been on the Eagles side since the beginning and it’s not hard to see why.

I’ll get to my pick in a minute, but first let’s start with the odds and a sick promo that’s guaranteeing you $200!

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All you have to do is sign up for DraftKings using this link, deposit $5 or more in your account and bet $5 or more between now and the Super Bowl. Regardless of if your bet wins or loses, you get that $200 as long as you use that link and follow those instructions.

What that $200 I’m going to bet big on the Eagles and here’s how I’m spending my bets.

Eagles vs Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Eagles vs Chiefs Prediction, Pick and Best Bet

While everyone keeps talking about how the Chiefs and Eagles each scored the same amount of points this season and have the best offenses in the NFL, the thing people aren’t talking enough about is the Eagles’ defense. That to me, is the difference maker in this game.

The Eagles set the NFL record for most sacks in a season this year and, over their last seven games, they have 34 sacks. The team that wins the battle of defensive line versus offensive line has won the Super Bowl recently and I like the Eagles to do that against a KC offensive line that’s been giving up nearly a full percentage point in sack percentage over their last three.

Beyond the pressure up front, our secondary should blanket a banged-up Chiefs offensive skill position group that was average (outside of Travis Kelce) even before all the injuries. Mecole Hardman is already ruled out of this game, Kadarius Toney seems 50-50 to play and JuJu Smith-Schuster also is hurt. None of them are elite when fully healthy. I’ll trust Darius Slay and James Bradberry to shut down whoever is lined up across them.

Give me the Eagles as -1.5-point favorites for my game bet, but my favorite bet is A.J. Brown to score a TD. The Chiefs gave up 20 TDs to wide receivers this year, tied for second-most in the NFL. Last week, Tee Higgins burned them for one deep and I liken Brown to Higgins in terms of his ability to go over the top to get a ball.

It’s been three games since Brown had a TD catch, his longest drought of the season. While the Chiefs have some young, talented corners, I don’t think anyone is keeping Brown out of the end zone this week.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.