NFL Playoff Picture: Week 18 clinching scenarios and predictions

Key storylines for the final week of the regular season and how the postseason landscape will take shape.

Super Bowl LIX Signage
Super Bowl LIX Signage | Aaron M. Sprecher/GettyImages

As the NFL regular season wraps up, Week 18 holds the power to frame playoff hopes and dreams. Both conferences feature upcoming battles for the final spots and pivotal matchups that will decide seeding and division titles.

While many teams have already secured their postseason berths, others are clinging to slim chances, making every game crucial. From the Broncos' wild-card hopes to the NFC South showdown, the stakes have never been higher.

Current AFC Playoff Seeding:

Seed

Team

Record

1

Kansas City Chiefs

15-1

2

Buffalo BIlls

13-3

3

Baltimore Ravens

11-5

4

Houston Texans

9-7

5

Pittsburgh Steelers

10-6

6

Los Angeles Chargers

10-6

7

*Denver Broncos

9-7

*Broncos have not clinched playoff berth yet

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The AFC Wild-Card Race features the Denver Broncos, Miami Dolphins, and Cincinnati Bengals.

In the AFC, three teams—Denver, Miami, and Cincinnati—are fighting for the final wild-card spot. Denver holds the edge, controlling its destiny with a win or tie against the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Dolphins, however, could sneak in if Denver falters and they beat the Jets. The Bengals’ path is the trickiest, requiring a win and help from losses by both Denver and Miami.

Current AFC Playoff Seeding:

Seed

Team

Record

1

Detroit Lions

14-2

2

Philadelphia Eagles

13-3

3

Los Angeles Rams

10-6

4

*Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9-7

5

Minnesota Vikings

14-2

6

Washington Commanders

11-5

7

Green Bay Packers

11-5

*Tampa Bay has not clinched playoff berth yet

The NFC North showdown will determine the conference’s top seed, while the NFC South title is up for grabs.

The Sunday night matchup between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings has enormous implications. The winner will not only claim the NFC North crown but also secure the coveted No. 1 seed in the NFC. Meanwhile, the loser will drop to the No. 5 seed and face a tough road in the playoffs.

The NFC South title will decide the final NFC playoff spot between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons. Tampa Bay clinches with a win or tie against the New Orleans Saints, or if Atlanta loses or ties against the Carolina Panthers. The Falcons can only win the division with a victory and a Bucs loss.

Predictions:

The Denver Broncos will clinch the final AFC Wild-Card spot.

The Denver Broncos are in control of their postseason destiny heading into Week 18. A win or tie against the Kansas City Chiefs guarantees them the last AFC wild-card berth. While the Chiefs are typically formidable opponents, their position as the No. 1 seed in the AFC is already locked in.

This opens the door for Denver to face a Kansas City team likely resting key players ahead of the playoffs. The Broncos’ motivation, coupled with Kansas City’s focus on a healthy postseason run, creates the perfect scenario for Denver to capitalize and punch their ticket to the playoffs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win the NFC South and climb to the No. 3 Seed.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers head into Week 18 with the NFC South title on the line. Their task is clear: defeat the New Orleans Saints at home, and they clinch the division. This matchup heavily favors Tampa Bay, especially given their ability to step up in high-stakes games.

Additionally, the Buccaneers have an opportunity to improve their seeding. The Los Angeles Rams, who currently hold the No. 3 seed, are expected to rest their starters this week. A Rams loss combined with a Buccaneers victory would propel Tampa Bay into the third seed, giving them a more favorable path in the NFC playoffs.

Expect a thrilling conclusion to the regular season.

Week 18 has all the makings of an unforgettable finish to the NFL regular season. With playoff spots and seeding on the line, the intensity will be palpable in every game.

As the dust settles, the playoff picture will come into focus, setting the stage for an exhilarating postseason. Stay tuned, because this week will deliver drama, surprises, and football at its finest.

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