It had been a while since the Philadelphia Eagles looked like themselves, but I guess the Divisional round was the best time for them to transform back into the dominant Eagles of the first 13 or 14 weeks of the season.
The Eagles steamrolled Daniel Jones and the Giants, and up next is Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers. The Eagles are slight favorites in this one, so let’s look at the odds before we get into building our same game parlay.
49ers vs. Eagles odds, spread and total
Purdy and Jalen Hurts have been excellent all season and while they’re not the elite passers like in the AFC finale, they lead two of the top offenses in football. Whoever wins I’m expecting a lot of points in this one, so let’s back Hurts and the Eagles offense with week in our SGP.
I’ve built this four-leg same game parlay in the FanDuel Sportsbook. This SGP pays out +502, that means a $25 bet pays out $125.61.
Best same game parlay picks for 49ers vs. Eagles
- Over 43.5 (-172)
- Jalen Hurts 25+ rushing yards (-750)
- AJ Brown over 70.5 receiving yards (-118)
- Kenneth Gainwell Over 11.5 rushing yards (-114)
Over 43.5 (-172)
Earlier in the week, I grabbed over 45.5 and that’s my primary play in this game, but I’ve grabbed a few extra points of cushion for this SGP. If there is a weakness on the Eagles roster, it’s their lack of run stuffers, both on the defensive line and at inside linebacker. The 49ers will take advantage of that weakness and can run it down their throat, but the Eagles talented receivers will be able to match San Fran’s offensive output.
Jalen Hurts 25+ rushing yards (-750)
It’s always good in a same game parlay to see one go through the rim early. It’s like getting to the foul line in basketball, gets you into a rhythm. Hurts was a bit cautious last week to reinjure his shoulder, but I think we see him take off this week against the Niners defensive line that can get pressure on the quarterback as good as any in the league. Hurts will be more willing to run and take hits this week and even last week he had 34 yards and a touchdown on the ground.
AJ Brown over 70.5 receiving yards (-118)
I was in love with the AJ Brown receiving yards over last week and it didn’t come through. He only had three catches for 22 yards, but he wasn’t needed at all. I don’t think the Eagles will dispatch San Fran in the first quarter like they did against New York, so Nick Sirianni and Shane Steichen will dial up a few more plays to Brown.
The construction of the Eagles receiving corps is very similar to Seattle. One physical freak that’s a matchup nightmare and an undersized, shifty, deep threat on the other side. When the Seahawks put up 23 points on San Fran in the Wild Card round, DK Metcalf had 10 catches for 136 yards and two touchdowns. The Niners don’t have that shutdown corner to handle Metcalf that week or Brown this week.
Kenneth Gainwell Over 11.5 rushing yards (-114)
Some of it came in garbage time, but Gainwell ran for 112 yards on 12 carries last week. He’ll get a least a couple of touches in this one, even though Miles Sanders is the clear No. 1. I actually think Gainwell could end up being the more successful back in this game. Sanders’ biggest issue is his tendency to run east/west and not get up field. He’s improved a lot in that facet this year, but he can still get caught bouncing too many runs outside and running laterally.
That’s a death sentence against the 49ers, who probably have the fastest defense in the NFL in terms of sideline to sideline speed. The Niners typically only lineup with four down linemen and all four are true pass-rushers, so another potential weakness of the best defense in the NFL is their ability to stop downhill runners. That could end up being Gainwell on Sunday.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change