Eagles versus Chiefs: 5 Questions and answers with Arrowhead Addict

2. What’s your honest assessment of Andy Reid? Can he bring the Lombardi Trophy that he couldn’t deliver to Philadelphia to Kansas City?

I do, but let me explain.

I think past performance is absolutely NOT an indicator of future performance in this instance (and others like it). If a coach can never get into the playoffs, then obviously his past performance tells you he’s just not a good coach. But for coaches who can consistently make the postseason, like Andy Reid, the idea that he can’t win the big one is just silly. People thought the same of Tony Dungy. The playoffs are so rare, so one-and-done, that a small sample size gets blown so far out of proportion.

Any team can win once the postseason hits. We’ve all seen it. Injuries make a huge difference, and that’s impossible to tell until you get there. Some random team gets hot, so being lucky plays a major part of things.

A Wildcard team can suddenly run the table a la the (Pittsburgh) Steelers or (Baltimore) Ravens. The idea that Reid just can’t get it done is silly. Some teams execute. Others do not. Someone has to lose, and Reid has lost more than he’s won. Someday, he will win and a bigger deal will be made about it than there deserves to be.

Remember, Vegas profits off of fools who believe that, because the dice have come up rolling seven several times in a row, a seven will come up again.